COVID-19 Growth Modeling/Forecasting with Logistic, Hill Equations and Prophet


DESCRIPTION

COVID-19 is a hot topic these days. Healthcare workers are the first line of defense. If you are in IT you are part of the fight against the virus. I thought I should do my part and implement a method to forecast coronavirus growth and dates when the number of infections could stabilize. Forecast is calculated based on last available data, using logistic and Hill functions. Calculation is done daily, when new infections data is available. Backtesting is done by forecasting from 5 days in the past.


FORECAST



INSTRUCTIONS